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Round Rock's Median Price Is Falling. Some Zip Codes Didn't Get the Memo.

August 20, 2026

If you've been watching the Round Rock housing numbers from a distance, the story looks simple. Prices are down. Days on market are up. It's a buyer's market, arguably the friendliest one Round Rock has offered since before the pandemic. That's the version you'll get from any national portal that pulls a single citywide average and calls it a day.

Here's what that version leaves out: two homes a few miles apart, both zoned to different school districts but sitting inside the same city limits, can be moving in opposite directions right now. One is sitting on the market for months while a seller quietly lowers the price. The other is fielding an offer close to asking within weeks. Same city. Same "buyer's market" headline. Completely different reality on the ground.

If you're comparing Round Rock to other suburbs, or comparing neighborhoods within Round Rock itself, the citywide median is the least useful number you can lean on. Here's what's actually driving the split, and how to read it before you make an offer.

The Number Everyone Quotes First

Start with what's true at the city level, because it sets the baseline everyone's reacting to. In the three months ending June 2026, Round Rock's median sale price came in at $373,000, down 5.6 percent from the same window a year earlier. Homes are taking an average of 58 days to sell, up from 54 days last year. Zillow's home value tracking for the city showed a similar pattern, with the average home value at $412,831 as of June 30, 2026, down 4.9 percent year over year.

Inventory has climbed alongside the price softening. Active listings across the city have pushed toward the high hundreds, and in some counts past a thousand, giving buyers a genuine menu of comparable options for the first time in years. That combination, more homes to choose from and less urgency to act fast, is exactly what a buyer's market looks like on paper.

None of that is wrong. It's just incomplete, because it treats Round Rock as one market when it's really behaving like at least three.

Why the Same City Has Two Different Stories

The mechanism here isn't complicated once you see it, but it doesn't show up in a citywide chart. When inventory rises and buyers get to be picky, they don't spread their attention evenly. They gravitate first toward whichever school attendance zone they've already decided is worth paying a premium for. Everything else becomes negotiable by comparison.

That's the split playing out in Round Rock right now. Pockets zoned to Leander ISD but sitting inside Round Rock's city limits, particularly Walsh Ranch and Mayfield Ranch, have held their value noticeably better than the rest of the city through this softening cycle. Meanwhile, older and more established neighborhoods zoned to Round Rock ISD, Forest Creek and Brushy Creek among them, are absorbing more of the price correction. Not because those neighborhoods are less desirable in any absolute sense, but because buyers now have the luxury of cross-shopping them against several comparable options instead of competing for the one listing available. More substitutes on the market means less pricing power for any single seller in that pool.

Dell Technologies still anchors a meaningful share of local employment, and that steady job base keeps baseline demand from collapsing anywhere in the city. But steady demand citywide doesn't stop a school-zone premium from concentrating in specific subdivisions while the correction concentrates in others.

Teravista's Split Identity

Teravista is the clearest illustration of how granular this gets. The master-planned community, built around its own golf course and three pool complexes, has held its price premium better than the broader Round Rock average through the current cycle. Golf-course-adjacent lots and the community's amenity package have given sellers there more room to hold firm on price than sellers in comparable non-amenity subdivisions.

But Teravista also straddles a line that trips up a lot of buyers doing a quick search: parts of the community carry a Round Rock address, and parts carry a Georgetown address, even though the subdivision, the HOA, and the amenities are the same. If you're comparing "Round Rock homes" to "Georgetown homes" using city name alone, you can end up comparing two halves of the same neighborhood against each other without realizing it. The address on the listing doesn't always tell you which market you're actually in.

A Zip Code Cheat Sheet

If you're serious about comparing Round Rock neighborhoods rather than comparing Round Rock to some other city, the zip code breakdown matters more than the city boundary does.

Zip Code Area Notable Neighborhoods Character
78681 West / Northwest Round Rock Brushy Creek, Mayfield Ranch, Behrens Ranch, Sendero Springs, Stone Canyon, Vista Oaks Mix of established and newer construction, easy access to FM 1431
78665 East Round Rock Teravista, Paloma Lake, Siena, Forest Creek, Eagle Ridge, Vizcaya Home to several of Round Rock ISD's highest-rated campuses, master-planned amenities
78664 South / Central Round Rock Neighborhoods near downtown and the I-35 corridor Most affordable entry point, older housing stock, walkable to downtown

That table looks tidy, but the on-the-ground behavior inside it isn't. 78665 contains both Teravista's resilient golf-course pricing and Forest Creek's softer, more negotiable pricing, in the same zip code. The zip code narrows the search. It doesn't finish it.

What This Means If You're Actually Shopping

If you're comparing neighborhoods rather than just tracking a citywide chart, treat the median as a starting point, not a verdict. Ask which specific attendance zone a home feeds into, because that answer is doing more work on the price than the city name is. Ask how many comparable listings are currently active within a half mile, because that number tells you how much leverage you'll have at the negotiating table.

If you're eyeing an older, established neighborhood where inventory has piled up, you're likely walking into more room to negotiate than the citywide days-on-market figure suggests. Local pricing behavior this year has shown sellers who price accurately closing around 94 to 97 percent of list price, while sellers who price optimistically are sitting for months and often settling for less than they would have accepted with a realistic number up front. That gap between the disciplined sellers and the hopeful ones is wider right now than it's been in years, and it's concentrated in exactly the neighborhoods absorbing the correction.

If you're set on a resilient zone like Walsh Ranch, Mayfield Ranch, or Teravista's golf-course sections, expect less room to negotiate and be ready to move when the right listing appears. Buyers in those pockets are still competing for a smaller, tighter pool.

The Seller Side of the Same Split

If you own in Forest Creek or Brushy Creek and you're thinking about listing, the math has changed. Buyers can see your home next to three or four others that look similar on paper, so the details that used to be secondary, condition, updates, staging, now carry more of the deciding weight than they did two years ago. Precise pricing from the start matters more than it used to, because an overpriced listing in a crowded comparable set gets passed over quickly.

If you own in a school zone that's held its value, you're in a different conversation. You likely have more pricing confidence, but that doesn't mean skipping preparation. Buyers in a resilient zone are still comparing you against the next listing that hits that same zone, even if there are fewer of them.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does a falling Round Rock median mean every neighborhood lost value? No. The citywide median reflects the overall mix of what sold, but individual neighborhoods and school zones are moving at different speeds. Some pockets, particularly those zoned to Leander ISD or built around amenities like Teravista's golf course, have held value better than the city average.

Is Teravista in Round Rock or Georgetown? Both, depending on which section of the community you're looking at. The subdivision and its amenities are shared, but individual home addresses fall on either side of the Round Rock and Georgetown city line.

Which zip code is the safest bet for holding value right now? There isn't a single safe zip code, because each one contains a mix of resilient and softening pockets. 78665 alone spans both Teravista's stronger pricing and Forest Creek's softer pricing. The school attendance zone and the specific subdivision matter more than the zip code boundary itself.

Ready to See Where Your Address Actually Sits?

A citywide median can't tell you what your specific street, your specific school zone, or your specific subdivision is doing right now. That kind of read only comes from someone who's tracking these neighborhoods block by block, not city by city. If you're weighing a move into Round Rock, or wondering what your current home in one of these zones is worth in today's split market, I'd rather show you the real comparables than let a national average speak for your street.

Sold by Christie M works this exact corridor every day, from Teravista to Brushy Creek and everywhere in between. Get your free home valuation and let's find out what your neighborhood's actual story looks like right now.

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